2020 Carolinian presidential election

The Carolinian presidential election of 2020, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020, will be the 40th quadrennial Carolinian presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or reelect the incumbents. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2020. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.

President Nikki Haley of the Democratic Party, who was elected in 2016, is seeking reelection to a second term.

Procedure
Article Two of the Confederate States Constitution states that for a person to serve as President of Carolina the individual must be a natural-born citizen of Carolina, at least 35 years old and a Carolinian resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various Carolinian political parties, in which case each party develops a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.

The Third Amendment states that a President can not be elected to the presidency more than twice. This prohibits former Presidents Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, Elizabeth Dole, and Al Gore from running for President in 2020.

Demographic trends
The age group ranging from 18 to 45-years-old is expected to represent just over 40 percent of Carolinian' eligible voters in 2020. It is expected that just under 30 percent of Carolinian voters will be nonwhite.

A bipartisan report concluded in 2018 that demographic shifts since 2016 could impact the 2020 election. African Carolinians, Hispanics, Asians, as well as other minorities and "whites with college degrees" are expected to make up a larger percentage of the population in 2020. Thus, these groups will increase their population of national eligible voters before the 2020 election. In the meantime, the percentage of eligible voters who are classified as "whites without a college degree" will decrease. This is seen as potentially advantageous to the Progressive nominee. However, in many cases, these groups are concentrated in a handful of states, namely Louisiana, Florida, Texas, and North Carolina. As these states are already Progressive-leaning or swing states, this may not impact Nikki Haley (or a different Democratic nominee) ability to win the electoral college, even if losing the popular vote.

Simultaenous elections
The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Several states will also hold state gubernatorial and state legislative elections. Following the election, the Confederate States House will redistribute the seats among the 13 states based on the results of the 2020 Confederate States Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In all thirteen states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting, and often a party that wins the presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win elections. Therefore, the party that wins the 2020 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.

Democratic Party
Nikki Haley is eligible to run for reelection and has clearly signaled his intentions to do so. Her re-election campaign was announced in June of 2018 during a press conference. On June 8, 2018, she submitted a letter as a substitute of CEC Form 1, by which he reached the legal threshold for filing, in compliance with the Confederal Campaign and Election Act.

The Democratic Party has nearly unanimously backed Haley as the 2020 nominee. This has left most analysts to speculate that she will have no serious contenders in the 2020 primaries. However, several former members of the Consitution Party who have rejoined the Democratic Party have criticized the President for being too central. In addition, there have been speculations that Roy Moore, a former candidate for Senate in Alabama may run against Haley. However, he has yet to form an exploratory committee and most analysts do not see him as a serious contender.

On January 15, 2019, the Democratic National Committee unofficially endorsed Haley, and began coordinating with the campaign organization.

Declared major candidates
The candidates in this section have held public office or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.

Speculative candidates
The following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the last six months, although they have neither personally expressed interest nor declined to run.

Convention Site
On August 15, 2018, the Democratic National Convention chose Charlotte, North Carolina as the site of the 2020 Democratic National Convention. The convention will be held from August 15 until August 19, 2020.

Declared major candidates and exploratory committees
In addition to having announced that they are running for president in 2020 or having formed exploratory committees for the 2020 presidential election, the candidates in this section have held public office or have been included in a minimum of five independent national polls. {{legend|lavender|Lavender: formed exploratory committee but has not officially declared candidacy}}

Other declared candidates and exploratory committees
As of January 2019, 149 individuals have filed with the Confederate Election Commission to run for President in the Progressive Party primary,including the following notable candidates:

{{legend|lavender|Lavender: formed exploratory committee but has not officially declared candidacy}}

Individuals who have scheduled a formal announcement

 * Andrew Gillum, Governor of Florida (2019-Present); Mayor of Tallahassee, Florida 2014–2018 (Announcement pending March 20, 2019)

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest
Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.


 * Jean Cloch Édouard, Governor of Louisiana
 * Kay Hagan, former Senator from North Carolina
 * William H. McRaven, former admiral from North Carolina
 * Federica Wilson, C.S. Representative from Florida

Declined to Be Canidates
The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest
Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.
 * Mark Cuban, businessman and investor from Trinité

Declared major candidates
The candidates in this section have held public office or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.

Declared candidates
These candidates have established campaign websites.